Georgia Senate Race April 22 and 27, roughly 1,300 potential November general election voters in Georgia were polled.
ATLANTA — According to a recent 11Alive survey, Georgia’s Senate election in 2022 is shaping up to be a tight one, with incumbent Sen. Rev. Raphael Warnock holding a little lead.
Between April 22 and 27, roughly 1,300 potential November general election voters in Georgia Senate Race were polled.
It demonstrates that, at least for the time being, Warnock has a lead over Republican challenger Herschel Walker that is higher than Warnock’s 2% win over Kelly Loeffler in the 2021 runoff that propelled him to the Senate.
Herschel Walker vs. Raphael Warnock
This is swiftly becoming Georgia Senate Race probable November election.
Walker, a former University of Georgia football player, still has to win a primary in May, but further polling, which you can see below, reveals that he has a significant lead over a tiny field of competitors.
According to the poll conducted by 11Alive, Warnock has a 5% lead among potential November voters.
The whole outcome is as follows:
Who would you vote for if the United States Senate race in Georgia were held today and these were the only contenders on the ballot?
- Herschel Walker – 45%
- Raphael Warnock – 50%
- Undecided – 5%
The error margin is 3.4 percent.
Among various polls conducted this year pitting Warnock against Walker, 11Alive’s result is the strongest yet for Warnock. Walker leads by 1.6 points in the Real Clear Politics average, while three additional polls released since January have shown him leading by 1 to 4 points.
Walker has former President Donald Trump’s strong support, which has helped him develop a significant lead in the Republican primary. However, in a general election, independents prefer Warnock by a 49 percent to 43 percent majority in 11Alive polling, while those same voters back Georgia’s incumbent Republican Governor Brian Kemp 45 percent to 42 percent against Democrat Stacey Abrams.
Self-identified conservatives, who constituted up 44% of survey respondents, prefer Walker 75 percent to 19 percent to Warnock, falling behind Kemp’s 80 percent to 17 percent lead against Abrams. Self-identified “moderate” voters (32%) choose Warnock 63 percent to 30 percent. The same demographic backs Abrams, but with a smaller margin – 55 percent to 37 percent.
White voters choose Walker 65-28 percent, while black voters prefer Warnock, the pastor at Ebenezer Baptist Church in Atlanta, where Martin Luther King Jr. spoke.
Hispanic voters are split 48-46 percent in support of Warnock. In this survey, the demographic backed Kemp 49-45 percent.
Surprisingly, the research indicates that 2020 Trump backers have not entirely embraced Walker’s candidacy; while they give Walker an 84-9 percent margin against Warnock, 7% of those voters say they are still unsure. Gov. Kemp, on the other hand, has a 90-7 percent edge over Abrams among Trump backers, with only 4% uncertain.
These may appear to be little distinctions, but they might have a significant impact if the election is determined by a few percentage points, as it will be in 2021.
Republican Primary
This race looks to be substantially decided.
Georgia Senate Race Several other formidable contenders, including state Agriculture Commissioner Gary Black, Cobb businessman Kelvin King, and former Navy SEAL and Trump administration employee Latham Saddler, are well-known in state political circles.
None of them have been able to overcome Walker’s celebrity as a Trump supporter and UGA football icon.
Walker has more than 60 percent support for the primary, according to 11Alive’s polling, which is somewhat higher than his RealClearPolitics average of just under 56 percent.
In 11Alive’s survey, he underperforms against Warnock compared to previous recent polls, but he outperforms the Republican primary field compared to other polling.
Complete results:
Who would you vote for if you were voting in the Republican primary for United States Senate today?
- Gary Black – 6%
- Josh Clark – 3%
- Kelvin King – 2%
- Jonathan McColumn – 2%
- Latham Saddler – 3%
- Herschel Walker – 62%
- Undecided – 21%
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